TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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SoFi members in Q3
kalshi

SoFi members in Q3

Volume:
$16,908

Above 16.9 million

 - Kalshi

Above 16.9 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 9:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 16.9 million

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,970
N/A
N/A
$879
3mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above 16.8 million

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,701
N/A
N/A
$2,452
3mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above 17 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,613
N/A
N/A
$1,823
3mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above 16.7 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
$357
3mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above 17.2 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$780
N/A
N/A
$222
3mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Above 17.1 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$712
N/A
N/A
$522
3mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Above 17.3 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$587
N/A
N/A
$537
3mo 3w 5d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the number of SoFi members reported by SoFi Technologies, Inc. for the third quarter of 2026. The outcome depends on whether the reported member count exceeds specific thresholds.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the number of members SoFi Technologies, Inc. reports for Q3 2026. If the reported figure exceeds any of the specified thresholds—16.7 million, 16.8 million, 16.9 million, 17 million, 17.1 million, 17.2 million, or 17.3 million—the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with SoFi Technologies, Inc., and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the SoFi membership count market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $4,504. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different membership outcomes over the specified period, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity for this prediction.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and financial projections, traders adjust prices based on recent news, user growth data, and market sentiment, which can lead to faster shifts in implied probabilities.

This market resolves around Feb 27, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the membership count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final figure will be compared against the market’s defined thresholds to determine which outcome — over, under, or exactly on target — has occurred.

Key signals that could shift this market include quarterly user reports from SoFi, major product releases, regulatory changes affecting digital banking, and competitive activity from rival platforms. Any surprise growth or slowdown in sign-ups, as well as media coverage of user experience, are also likely to influence trader sentiment and price action.