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$116.2b

24H VOL:

$77,900,307

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1,351,258,445

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,136,620,802

319,401

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31,587

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,628

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Shakira monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?
Other
kalshi
polymarket

Shakira monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?

Total volume:
$32,641
Volume 24h:
$4,689
256%
Liquidity:
$3,518
29%
Open interest:
$4,147
3%

Above 8M

 - Kalshi

Above 8M - Kalshi

10%

-9%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

8%10%12%14%16%18%20%

Aug 18

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Vol.

$876.1

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 05d:21h:55m

Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have above 8M daily views in August 2026?

10%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 10¢ buys you 1,000 shares | Odds: 10% Total Payout: $1,000 | Net Profit: $900 Multiplier: 10.00x | ROI: 900% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
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Description

This event group tracks whether Shakira's monthly listener count on Spotify will reach specified thresholds by August 31. The markets resolve based on Spotify's reported monthly listener figures for Shakira's primary artist profile.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All Shakira listener threshold markets share identical resolution logic: evaluate Spotify's monthly listener count for her primary artist profile against the specified threshold at any time before August 31.Primary resolution logic: Spotify

Core resolution logic:

  • Check Shakira's official Spotify monthly listener count at any point between market creation and August 31, 11:59 PM ET
  • Resolve 'Yes' if the count is >= specified threshold; 'No' otherwise
  • Only primary artist profiles count — collaborations or features under other artists do not contribute

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Profile Changes: If Shakira's Spotify profile is deleted or merged before August 31, the most recent available count will be used
  • Threshold Ambiguity: If Spotify rounds listener counts, the exact threshold (e.g., 115m) must be met or exceeded — fractional counts below the threshold do not qualify
Timing: Resolution occurs after August 31 when Spotify's official monthly listener data becomes finalOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shakira has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Kalshi

If YoungBoy Never Broke Again has above 8M Global daily views on YouTube in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Shakira listener count market shows real-time odds and volume from multiple prediction platforms tracking the same question. It aggregates data to give you a consensus view of market expectations, reflecting how traders across venues price the likelihood of Shakira hitting a specific listener milestone. You can see total volume of $32,502 and 24-hour volume of $0, plus platform-specific probabilities, letting you gauge overall market sentiment and spot divergence between bookmakers.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through collective trader sentiment rather than traditional analyst reports. While expert forecasts may offer detailed projections, prediction market odds reflect the aggregated view of participants betting on outcomes. This can create notable differences, especially when public sentiment shifts quickly or when analyst models miss viral trends.

Differences in user bases and trading activity between Polymarket and Kalshi often lead to price variations. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more casual bettors reacting to recent news, while the other could see heavier institutional participation. These dynamics can widen the gap between the two venues, reflected in divergent odds for this market.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will rely on officially reported listener statistics over the relevant period, closing on the last day of August. At that point, the market settles based on whether the stated threshold is met, providing a clear, data-driven conclusion for all participants.

News about Shakira’s new releases, tours, or viral moments could push this market sharply, as each drives listener spikes. Platform-specific liquidity shifts or large bets may also cause price swings. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Meanwhile, any competing entertainment events or platform algorithm changes might dampen interest, pulling odds in the opposite direction as traders adjust for expected listener activity through Aug 31, 2026.