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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Shake Shack Foot Traffic in September
kalshi

What is Shake Shack's foot traffic performance in September?

Volume:
$78,977

Above 101

 - Kalshi

Above 101 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 101

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,213
N/A
N/A
$4,134
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,439
N/A
N/A
$2,064
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,917
N/A
N/A
$1,317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 98

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,594
N/A
N/A
$1,594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 102

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,343
N/A
N/A
$8,139
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 104

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,166
N/A
N/A
$4,439
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 106

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,091
N/A
N/A
$3,530
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 111

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,384
N/A
N/A
$3,384
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 103

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,152
N/A
N/A
$3,124
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 107

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,719
N/A
N/A
$3,383
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 112

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,683
N/A
N/A
$3,633
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 108

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,651
N/A
N/A
$596
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,554
N/A
N/A
$3,184
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 113

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,197
N/A
N/A
$3,092
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 109

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,971
N/A
N/A
$2,685
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 105

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,902
N/A
N/A
$924
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The event tracks Shake Shack's customer traffic performance for September 2026, comparing it to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the reported foot traffic index exceeds specific thresholds, with higher thresholds representing stronger growth in customer visits.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are determined by the Carbon Arc Shake Shack Foot Traffic index for September 2026. The index measures year-over-year changes in foot traffic, with 100 representing equal traffic to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 101 to 113), and the market resolves to Yes if the first reported index value for September 2026 exceeds that threshold. Corrections or revisions to the data after the market settlement will not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using mobile location data from over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days as the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. The panel updates daily, ensuring timely resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Shake Shack’s September foot traffic. While analysts may incorporate broader economic indicators and company performance trends, traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on recent news, consumer behavior data, and short-term expectations. This can lead to divergence, especially around events like weather patterns or local promotions that aren’t fully captured in traditional models.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price for this market through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate bets of participants. The odds are displayed as a probability, showing the market’s expectation for Shake Shack’s foot traffic levels in September. Volume and open interest provide insight into how actively the market is being traded, and price fluctuations often respond to new data or sentiment shifts among participants.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on authoritative sources tracking Shake Shack foot traffic for September, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders can expect the market to close and settle shortly after the data becomes publicly available and meets verification standards.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including local events near Shake Shack locations, weather forecasts, changes in consumer sentiment following economic news, and promotional campaigns launched by the company itself. Additionally, broader trends like holiday weekends or public health advisories could influence foot traffic expectations. Traders on Kalshi will watch these developments closely, as any new information that affects dining-out behavior may cause rapid price adjustments.