TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:45 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the SNDK/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the SNDK/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the SNDK/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sndk-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink SNDK/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T18:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the SNDK/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the SNDK/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the SNDK/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sndk-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink SNDK/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T18:30:00Z
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect real-time expectations about future events. If analysts are generally bullish on Sandisk, we might expect to see the odds of 'up' being favored in this market. Conversely, if analysts are bearish, the 'down' outcome may be more heavily weighted. It’s important to remember that prediction markets and analyst forecasts represent different approaches to forecasting, and discrepancies can occur.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Sandisk stock will go up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability that traders assign to each outcome. Higher prices for the 'up' contract suggest greater confidence in a positive movement, while higher prices for the 'down' contract indicate the opposite.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the Sandisk stock price moved up or down between 2:30 PM ET and 2:45 PM ET on October 27th. The exact price change that constitutes 'up' or 'down' will be determined by standard financial market definitions and verified against reliable financial news sources, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any unexpected news regarding Sandisk's financial performance, such as earnings reports or revenue forecasts, would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends in the technology sector or overall economic conditions could also influence trading activity. Additionally, major announcements related to Sandisk's products, partnerships, or regulatory approvals could shift the odds. Even general investor sentiment and breaking financial news could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.