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Closed: Oct 7, 4:40 PM EST
Polymarket
Sam Gilliam's “Untitled” is expected to be sold at auction on October 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final auction sale price paid for Sam Gilliam's “Untitled” is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the final "Lot Sold" price as reported in USD. If the final “Lot Sold” price is reported by Sotheby’s in a different currency, this market will resolve according to the USD value of the sale at the time of final sale. The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sothebys (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/contemporary-curated-3).
Sam Gilliam's “Untitled” is expected to be sold at auction on October 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final auction sale price paid for Sam Gilliam's “Untitled” is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the final "Lot Sold" price as reported in USD. If the final “Lot Sold” price is reported by Sotheby’s in a different currency, this market will resolve according to the USD value of the sale at the time of final sale. The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sothebys (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/contemporary-curated-3).
Currently, prediction market traders are expressing their views on the final sale price of the artwork. These probabilities are formed by individuals wagering real capital, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analyst predictions often rely on art market expertise and historical data, this market reflects a collective intelligence based on financial incentives. It’s important to note that market sentiment can and does change as new information becomes available, and this market will continue to update until its resolution.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final sale price of Sam Gilliam’s “Untitled” is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official auction results or confirmed private sale price, as reported by reputable art market news sources. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen price range matches the actual sale price, reflecting the collective wisdom of the market participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding the condition of the artwork, announcements about potential bidders, or broader trends in the art market could all shift trader sentiment. Significant sales of comparable works by Sam Gilliam or other contemporary artists could also impact the probabilities. Additionally, any publicity surrounding the sale, such as previews or expert appraisals, may lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market.