TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Jun 1, 3:18 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Rodrigo Paz being out as President of Bolivia by the resolution date. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an event will occur, the higher the share price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing perceptions regarding the political landscape in Bolivia. The current trading volume indicates active participation and interest in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on publicly available information confirming whether Rodrigo Paz has left the office of President of Bolivia before the specified date. The market will then be settled based on this verified information. Traders should monitor news sources and official announcements for updates leading up to the resolution date, as these will influence the final outcome and settlement of this market regarding the Bolivian presidential transition.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Major political developments within Bolivia, such as significant protests, changes in government leadership beyond the presidency, or announcements of early elections, would likely impact trader sentiment. Economic factors, like a substantial downturn or major policy shifts, could also play a role. Unexpected legal challenges or investigations involving President Paz could also shift the odds. Finally, statements from key political figures or influential international observers regarding the stability of the Bolivian government could influence trading activity in this market.
