TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Rockstar Energy's sales growth in a specific month compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the reported growth index exceeds certain thresholds, reflecting consumer spending trends for the brand.
All markets in this event are determined by the Carbon Arc Rockstar Energy Point of Sale Growth index for September 2026. The index measures year-over-year sales changes, with values above 100 indicating growth and below 100 indicating decline. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 81, above 84, etc.), and the market resolves to Yes if the first reported value by Carbon Arc meets or exceeds that threshold. Post-settlement corrections or revisions do not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using point-of-sale data from in-store and online purchases, captured through receipt-scanning and rewards apps, and matched to the same period in the prior year. The panel updates daily, ensuring timely reporting. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may issue reports based on historical sales trends and industry conditions, the odds here are set by market participants betting on actual performance. Comparing the two can reveal whether traders are more optimistic or pessimistic than consensus estimates, often reacting to fresh data or sentiment shifts faster than traditional research.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the sales growth figure for September is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on official company announcements or reputable financial data providers, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Key signals that could shift this market include early sales indicators, industry reports, media coverage of promotional campaigns, and any unexpected announcements from Rockstar Energy’s parent company. Additionally, broader economic factors such as consumer spending trends or changes in energy prices may influence trader sentiment and cause volatility in the weeks leading up to resolution.