TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:06h:14m
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These markets track projected spending levels through a rewards credit card for a specific month, comparing them against various financial thresholds. The outcomes depend on whether reported spending exceeds predetermined benchmarks, reflecting broader consumer spending trends.
All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for Ro Credit Card Spend in October 2026. Each market has a specific threshold; if the reported spend exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Post-settlement corrections or revisions do not alter the outcome. The index measures year-over-year change in U.S. credit and debit card transactions, with 100 indicating equal spend to the prior year, values above 100 showing growth, and below 100 indicating decline. The panel updates daily, providing a real-time reflection of spending patterns. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Ro’s credit card spending. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or analyst reports. This is because traders are incentivized to make accurate predictions with their own capital. If analysts predict a certain level of spending, it will be reflected in the price of this market if traders agree, or the market will diverge if they disagree with that assessment. It's a real-time assessment of likely outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices based on their expectations. Traders submit bids (the price they’re willing to buy) and asks (the price they’re willing to sell). The market price fluctuates as these bids and asks are matched. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective wisdom of traders and represents the probability of the event occurring. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived likelihood of Ro’s October 2026 credit card spend being above the specified level.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual total credit card spending by Ro customers during the month of October 2026. The specific spending figure will be sourced from Ro's official financial statements or a similarly authoritative source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final reported spending amount.
Several factors could influence the price of this market over the next year. Changes in overall consumer spending, particularly within the healthcare and wellness sectors, could have a significant impact. Any news regarding Ro’s customer acquisition strategies, marketing campaigns, or new product launches would also be closely watched by traders. Furthermore, broader economic indicators, such as interest rate changes or inflation reports, could affect consumer credit card usage and, consequently, Ro’s spending. Positive or negative press coverage about Ro’s financial health could also move this market.