TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:37 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The Republican National Committee's financial position at the end of the third quarter of 2026 will be assessed based on cash reserves reported to federal authorities. This measurement reflects the party committee's liquidity and fundraising effectiveness during the year.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the Republican National Committee's cash on hand as of September 30, 2026, according to official Federal Election Commission filings. The event establishes progressive thresholds at $85M, $95M, $105M, $115M, $125M, and $135M. Resolution uses only the first official or non-preliminary FEC release; subsequent revisions or corrections do not affect the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Unlike traditional polling averages, this market reflects trader expectations about the RNC's financial health, influenced by fundraising reports, donor activity, and campaign spending patterns. While polls measure voter preferences, this market prices in dollars the likelihood of various cash balances. Traders may react faster to financial disclosures or news events than poll aggregators update, potentially creating divergence between market odds and polling trends.
This market resolves around Nov 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will compare the RNC's officially reported cash-on-hand figure for the third quarter against the market's settled categories. No further interpretation is needed beyond publicly disclosed financial statements and filings.
Key events that could shift this market include quarterly fundraising disclosures, major donor announcements, spending reports, and any controversies affecting the RNC's financial operations. Economic conditions, changes in campaign strategy, and media coverage of financial health may also influence trader sentiment. As Nov 20, 2026 approaches, updated previews or early leaks of the Q3 results could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.
