TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.2b

24H VOL:

$89,825,529

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,361,103,189

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,149,221,759

323,078

Markets across

32,329

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,673

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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RipCars FDV above ___ one day after launch?
predict
opinion
polymarket

RipCars FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Total volume:
$9,490,725
Volume 24h:
$1,641
1,527%
Liquidity:
$123,826
14%
Open interest:
$21,434N/A

$300M

 - Predict

$300M - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 94.9¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 16% 128 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

$300M

Trade
48%
Yes 94.9¢No 99.4¢
94.3¢
$3,546
$228
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
active
predict

$10M

Trade
38%
Yes 37.5¢No 62.6¢
0.1¢
$46,737
$85,309
0%
0.12%
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

$10M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
19%
Yes 18.8¢No 81.3¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

$20M

Trade
28%
Yes 29.5¢No 74¢
3.5¢
$1,229
$79,294
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

$20M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$809
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
No
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
14%
Yes 14.8¢No 87¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 3.5¢
predict

$40M

Trade
22%
Yes 22.3¢No 78¢
0.3¢
$32,934
$27,291
1%
2%
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
active
predict

$60M

Trade
21%
Yes 23.2¢No 80.7¢
3.9¢
$531
$67,059
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
active
opinion

$10B

Trade
18%
Yes 94.9¢No 82¢
76.9¢
N/A
$94,839
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 1w
active
predict

$100M

Trade
18%
1%
Yes 18.3¢No 82.9¢
1.2¢
$35,915
$30,412
4%
4%
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
active
predict

$200M

Trade
12%
Yes 22¢No 97.5¢
19.5¢
$2,933
$4
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
active
opinion

$5B

Trade
12%
13%
Yes 47.4¢No 87.9¢
35.3¢
N/A
$2,099,453
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 1w
active
opinion

$15B

Trade
12%
Yes 99.8¢No 88¢
87.8¢
N/A
$174,387
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 1w
active
opinion

$20B

Trade
5%
Yes 9.7¢No 95.8¢
5.5¢
N/A
$99,154
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 1w
active
opinion

$30B

Trade
3%
Yes 3.4¢No 98.1¢
1.5¢
N/A
$6,701,280
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 1w
active
polymarket

$750k

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,093
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
Yes
polymarket

$500k

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,368
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
Yes
polymarket

$1M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$540
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
Yes
polymarket

$4M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,971
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
No
polymarket

$1.5M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,751
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
No
polymarket

$7.5M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,581
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
No
polymarket

$2.5M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
No
polymarket

$3M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
No
polymarket

$5M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
No
polymarket

$2M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
No
polymarket

$15M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,373
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 1w 1d
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This event group tracks the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of RipCars' governance token at a specific measurement point: 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following official token launch. Multiple platforms offer tiered FDV thresholds ranging from $500k to $20M, with one platform (opinion) extending to $30B, creating a price-discovery ladder for post-launch valuation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Entity mismatch (MagicBlock vs. RipCars), conflicting token-type exclusion rules, missing resolution criteria on opinion platform, and misaligned deadlines create fundamental ambiguity about which project and token qualify for resolution.Hero tip: Before trading, obtain written clarification from each platform: (1) Is MagicBlock the same entity as RipCars, or are these separate projects? (2) Do token-type exclusions (stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, synthetics) apply to all platforms or only polymarket? (3) What are the opinion platform's official resolution criteria and deadline? Misalignment on these points could result in conflicting resolutions.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Measures MagicBlock governance token FDV at 4:00 PM ET one day after launch. No token-type exclusions. Deadline December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Thresholds: $10M, $20M, $40M, $60M, $100M, $200M, $300M. Key Quote: 'The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.'
  • polymarket: Measures RipCars token FDV at 4:00 PM ET one day after launch. Explicitly excludes stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens. Deadline January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Thresholds: $500k to $20M. Key Quote: 'Only an official token launched by RipCars after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.'
  • opinion: Lists FDV thresholds ($5B, $10B, $15B, $20B, $30B) with no resolution criteria, timing definition, entity specification, or deadline provided. Unresolvable as specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of RipCars token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by RipCars after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If RipCars (https://x.com/ripcarsio) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes. If the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Frequently asked questions

The MagicBlock FDV milestone market dashboard aggregates predictions across multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of MagicBlock reaching a specific fully diluted valuation one day after its launch. It displays cumulative volume of $9,488,983 and recent 24-hour volume of $15,065, letting users compare sentiment and liquidity trends across platforms.

Predict and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The pricing gap stems from differences in how Predict and Opinion calculate and display odds. Predict updates its probabilities more frequently based on real-time trading volume and open interest, which can amplify short-term sentiment swings. Opinion smooths its odds to reduce noise, incorporating a wider historical context and larger position sizes. These design choices mean that even when tracking the same event, the two venues can show noticeably different chances — for instance, Predict currently favors MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? at 47.8%, while Opinion leans toward $10B at 18.0%.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on authoritative data sources tracking MagicBlock’s market capitalization one day after its initial launch, ensuring an objective and transparent close.

Key catalysts include major token unlocks, ecosystem partnerships that boost circulating supply or demand, and any sudden shifts in broader crypto market sentiment that affect investor appetite for high-FDV projects. Media coverage highlighting MagicBlock’s roadmap milestones could also sway trader expectations. Additionally, competing projects that announce aggressive growth strategies may draw capital away, indirectly pressuring this market. All of these factors will be reflected in trading volumes on platforms like Predict and Opinion as the Jan 1, 2027 deadline approaches.