TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Rideshare app downloads array index in October 2026
kalshi

Rideshare app downloads array index in October 2026

Oct 15, 2026, 7:18 PM EST - Nov 15, 2026, 1:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$11,916
Volume 24h:
$2,856
350%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$6,726
39%

Above 100

 - Kalshi

Above 100 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:11h:39m

Will Rideshare app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 100?

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 322% 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 100

Trade
96%
Yes 95¢No 22¢
17¢
N/A
$5,504
4%
N/A
$2,159
1w 5d 11h
Active
kalshi

Above 102

36%
Yes 94¢No 97¢
91¢
N/A
$174
6%
N/A
$14
1w 5d 11h
Active
kalshi

Above 105

2%
5%
Yes 8¢No 99¢
7¢
N/A
$4,868
42%
3,146%
$3,183
1w 5d 11h
Active
kalshi

Above 110

2%
Yes 8¢No 99¢
7¢
N/A
$1,270
1,170%
1,170%
$1,270
1w 5d 11h
Active
kalshi

Above 120

1%
Yes 12¢No 99¢
11¢
N/A
$100
0%
0%
$100
1w 5d 11h
Active
kalshi

Above 80

N/A
N/A
74¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 11h
Active
kalshi

Above 85

N/A
N/A
69¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 11h
Active
kalshi

Above 90

N/A
N/A
75¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 11h
Active
kalshi

Above 95

N/A
N/A
75¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 11h
Active
kalshi

Above 115

N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 11h
Active
Total markets: 10

Description

The market assesses if rideshare app usage, measured through downloads for services like Uber and Lyft in October 2026, shows significant growth compared to the previous year.

Kalshi

All markets resolve using the Carbon Arc Rideshare Apps Array index for October 2026, recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the month ends. The index is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of year-over-year indices for Uber and Lyft, each weighted at 1/2. An index of 100 signifies no growth relative to the same month in the prior year, while values above 100 indicate growth. The official value is taken from Carbon Arc’s published data at the specified time, with no corrections for subsequent revisions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this market tracks the rideshare app download market for October 2026. Specifically, it forecasts an array index value related to download numbers. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $2,856 and the overall volume is $11,916. You can view the current odds and price history directly on Kalshi to assess where traders believe the index will land. This is a forward-looking market, attempting to predict future download activity.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the predictions embedded in this market to traditional analyst forecasts for rideshare app downloads. However, the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi often provides a unique perspective, potentially incorporating real-time information and a broader range of factors than typical analyst models. If analysts predict significant growth in the rideshare market, we might expect to see increased demand for contracts predicting a higher array index. Conversely, pessimistic forecasts could lead to lower demand.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market operates as a continuous double auction, where participants buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the rideshare app download array index in October 2026. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome being correct. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of market sentiment. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, constantly adjusting to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd trading on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official array index for rideshare app downloads as reported by a trusted source. The specific value of the array index will determine which outcome is considered correct and will trigger payouts to contract holders. The final price will reflect the actual outcome of the rideshare app download array index in October 2026.

Changes in the competitive landscape of the rideshare industry could have a substantial impact on this market. For example, a major marketing campaign by a competitor, a significant change in pricing strategies, or the introduction of innovative services could all shift expectations. Macroeconomic factors, such as overall economic growth or recessionary fears, will also be influential, as these affect consumer spending on transportation. Regulatory decisions impacting rideshare companies, and even major technological advancements in autonomous driving, could all move this market before it resolves around Nov 15, 2026.