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2,984,640,614

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$1,969,435,260

419,363

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4,612

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5

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Red Bull Point of Sale Growth in September
kalshi

Red Bull Point of Sale Growth in September

Volume:
$67,509

Above 103

 - Kalshi

Above 103 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 2, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 103

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,644
N/A
N/A
$3,762
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,089
N/A
N/A
$6,085
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 106

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,977
N/A
N/A
$2,617
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 105

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,451
N/A
N/A
$4,121
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,451
N/A
N/A
$4,103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 97

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,556
N/A
N/A
$3,356
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 102

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,383
N/A
N/A
$3,088
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,202
N/A
N/A
$1,690
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 112

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,938
N/A
N/A
$6,529
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 115

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,249
N/A
N/A
$4,829
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 109

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,587
N/A
N/A
$4,072
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 118

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,982
N/A
N/A
$3,882
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

These markets track Red Bull's sales performance relative to the same month in the prior year, using a specialized index calculated by Carbon Arc. The index reflects changes in consumer spending on Red Bull products across both physical and digital retail channels.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for Red Bull's Point of Sale Growth index in September 2026. The index measures year-over-year sales changes, with 100 representing equal sales compared to the prior year, values above 100 indicating growth, and values below 100 indicating decline. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 97, above 100, above 101, etc.), and if the reported index exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Post-settlement corrections or revisions to the reported value will not alter the outcome. The index is derived from a panel that tracks in-store and online purchases through receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period in the previous year, with daily updates as new data becomes available.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Red Bull sales growth market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $7,453. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different sales growth outcomes for Red Bull in September, offering a visual representation of market sentiment and activity over time.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate extensive research and historical data, traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on recent signals, news, and sentiment, which can lead to divergence or alignment depending on emerging market conditions and public opinion.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate assessment of all participants. The odds shift based on trading volume, news flow, and trader sentiment, creating a dynamic price that captures the collective wisdom of the market at any given moment.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final sales growth figure for Red Bull in September will be compared against the market’s defined thresholds, and the result will be settled accordingly based on publicly available data sources.

Key signals that could move this market include major product launches, marketing campaigns, consumer sentiment surveys, retail sales data releases, and any unexpected economic or supply chain developments affecting Red Bull’s availability or demand. Additionally, media coverage and industry reports highlighting competitor activity may also influence trader expectations and shift odds before resolution.