TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Qwen market share this week
kalshi

Qwen market share this week

Volume:
$47,855

Above 5.4%

 - Kalshi

Above 5.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5.4%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,101
N/A
N/A
$7,405
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.5%

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,708
N/A
N/A
$5,449
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,562
N/A
N/A
$6,638
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.2%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,748
N/A
N/A
$2,962
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.9%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,078
N/A
N/A
$3,116
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,013
N/A
N/A
$2,145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,644
N/A
N/A
$2,269
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the weekly usage performance of the Qwen AI model within a specific text generation platform. It measures how much of the platform's total text processing activity is attributed to Qwen during a defined period. The outcome depends on whether Qwen's share exceeds various specified thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on Qwen’s market share percentage on the OpenRouter text platform for the week of August 31, 2026, measured at 10:00 AM ET on the following Monday. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from above 4.9% to above 5.5%), and resolves to 'Yes' only if Qwen’s share exceeds its specific threshold. If Qwen’s contribution is not individually listed and is grouped under a general 'Others' category in the source data, all markets will resolve to 'No'. The event explicitly states that the platform operating the markets has no official affiliation with the governing benchmark or the intellectual property involved.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Qwen market share market on Kalshi shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $7,748. It helps you monitor how traders are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for this week’s market share estimates. The display updates continuously to reflect the latest activity and trends within short_topic, giving you a clear view of market sentiment without needing to visit multiple sources.

Odds in this market often reflect a blend of recent performance data and expert projections, but they can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may publish detailed reports with specific percentage estimates, traders on Kalshi price in their own expectations and reactions to new information as it emerges. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on market confidence, making this market a live barometer compared to static polling averages.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the most authoritative sources tracking market share for the week, ensuring an objective and transparent close. Traders should watch for official announcements or verified data releases that will lock in the final numbers used for settlement.

Key signals include quarterly earnings reports, product launches, major partnership announcements, and any widely covered media coverage that affects perceived market position. Unexpected regulatory news or competitive moves can also shift trader sentiment quickly. Keep an eye on tech news outlets and analyst updates, as they often preview developments that influence this market’s pricing in the days leading to Sep 14, 2026.