TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Qwen market share this week
kalshi

Qwen market share this week

Volume:
$25,959

Above 4.3%

 - Kalshi

Above 4.3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.3%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,360
N/A
N/A
$10,427
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,259
N/A
N/A
$5,259
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8%

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,940
N/A
N/A
$1,938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.3%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,845
N/A
N/A
$2,845
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.8%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,495
N/A
N/A
$2,495
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.3%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,060
N/A
N/A
$1,368
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the weekly usage performance of the Qwen AI model within a specific AI platform ecosystem. It measures how much of the total activity or queries on the platform are attributed to Qwen during a defined time period. The outcome depends on whether Qwen's share exceeds certain thresholds, reflecting its relative popularity and adoption compared to other models.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the OpenRouter Market Share by model author for the week of August 24, 2026, measured and reported at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday following the week in question. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from above 3.8% to above 6.3%). If Qwen's measured market share for that week exceeds the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing benchmark, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, sentiment-driven view of Qwen’s market share. While analysts may incorporate long-term strategic assessments and historical data, traders in this market react quickly to news, product releases, and competitive whispers, sometimes creating tighter or wider odds depending on recent momentum.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially recognized data sources tracking Qwen’s market share for the week, ensuring an objective and transparent close for all participants.