TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:00 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the QQQ/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/qqq-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink QQQ/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the QQQ/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/qqq-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink QQQ/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z
Currently, it's important to note that prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts might base their predictions on fundamental and technical analysis, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders betting with real capital. It is common to see divergences between the two, especially in the short term. The question is whether the market will accurately predict the QQQ's movement during the specified timeframe, or if expert opinions will prove more accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the direction of the QQQ will be assessed based on its price movement between 9:45 AM and 10:00 AM ET on October 29th. If the QQQ's price at 10:00 AM ET is higher than its price at 9:45 AM ET, the market will resolve in favor of 'QQQ Up'; otherwise, it will resolve to 'QQQ Down'.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation figures or employment numbers, could trigger a market reaction. News related to major companies within the QQQ index, like Apple or Microsoft, could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, any geopolitical events or shifts in investor sentiment could drive trading activity and alter the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.