TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on November 2, 2026 at 4pm ET
kalshi

What will the Pyth Index.US30/USD price be?

Volume:
$17,581

At least $52,075

 - Kalshi

At least $52,075 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 3:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least $52,075

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,933
N/A
N/A
$6,925
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,425

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,447
N/A
N/A
$705
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,225

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,973
N/A
N/A
$1,972
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,275

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,654
N/A
N/A
$1,422
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,175

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,427
N/A
N/A
$1,425
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,350

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$812
N/A
N/A
$810
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,050

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
$646
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,375

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$372
N/A
N/A
$368
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$163
N/A
N/A
$162
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,325

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,250

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,300

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,150

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,125

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $52,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $51,850

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $51,875

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $51,900

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $51,925

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $51,950

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $51,975

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least $52,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least $51,825

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

These markets track whether the Pyth Index.US30/USD will reach or exceed specific price thresholds by a set date and time. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact expiration moment, as reported by Pyth Network, without any adjustments for post-expiration changes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the value of the Index.US30/USD at precisely 4pm ET on November 2, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network. Each market has a distinct threshold price, ranging from $52,025 to $52,425. If the index's value at the specified time meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All calculations use the index's natively published level in its own currency and units, with no currency conversion applied. Importantly, any revisions to the index made after the expiration time are disregarded when determining the resolution. The markets are independent, with each evaluating its own specific threshold against the same snapshot of the index value at the expiration moment.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the US30 price market tracks the current price, 24-hour volume of $16,373, and total volume of $17,065. You’ll also find a price history chart to visualize how the market has traded over time. This allows participants to monitor activity and assess the evolving expectations around the future price of the US30 index. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market, helping traders make informed decisions about buying or selling contracts.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on economic models and company reports, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of opinions and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when unexpected events or sentiment shifts occur. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market perceptions and potential blind spots in conventional analysis. This can be a useful tool for calibrating your own views.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing their beliefs about the future price of the US30 index. The current price reflects the highest bid and lowest ask, constantly adjusting as new orders are placed. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders expressing their views on the likelihood of different price levels. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final price of the Pyth Index.US30/USD at 4pm ET on November 2, 2026, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi after the event has concluded.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports, employment numbers, and GDP growth figures, are likely to have a substantial impact. Geopolitical events, including trade wars, political instability, and unexpected crises, could also trigger significant price swings. Furthermore, changes in Federal Reserve policy, such as interest rate adjustments or quantitative easing measures, are closely watched by traders. Unexpected corporate earnings reports from major US companies within the US30 index could also influence trading activity.