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Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by May 31, 2026?
kalshi

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by May 31, 2026?

Volume:
$2,520

Above $0.52

 - Kalshi

Above $0.52 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.52 on May 31?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $0.52

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$173
0%
N/A
$163
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.55

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4¢
N/A
$162
0%
N/A
$109
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.54

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4¢
N/A
$147
0%
N/A
$80
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.53

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$145
0%
N/A
$114
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.50

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$87
0%
N/A
$84
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.67

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$82
0%
N/A
$57
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.56

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$61
0%
N/A
$56
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.57

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
5¢
N/A
$60
0%
N/A
$55
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.29

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4¢
N/A
$59
0%
N/A
$59
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.28

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
5¢
N/A
$55
0%
N/A
$55
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.34

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3¢
N/A
$55
0%
N/A
$55
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.38

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$55
0%
N/A
$55
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.30

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4¢
N/A
$54
0%
N/A
$54
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.32

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
5¢
N/A
$54
0%
N/A
$54
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.31

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$53
0%
N/A
$53
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.33

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4¢
N/A
$53
0%
N/A
$53
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.35

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$53
0%
N/A
$53
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.36

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4¢
N/A
$53
0%
N/A
$53
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.37

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
5¢
N/A
$53
0%
N/A
$53
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.51

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4¢
N/A
$53
0%
N/A
$51
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.40

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3¢
N/A
$50
0%
N/A
$50
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.41

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$50
0%
N/A
$50
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.42

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3¢
N/A
$50
0%
N/A
$50
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.43

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$50
0%
N/A
$50
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.44

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$50
0%
N/A
$50
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 25 of 40

Intro

This market tracks the hourly pricing of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute resources, measuring whether the cost per hour will exceed $0.29 on a specific future date. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that RTX 5090 compute per hour pricing will be above $0.29 on May 31, 2026—stands at 99.0%. The market resolves according to the actual compute per hour value recorded on May 31, 2026, as the resolution source. Watch for announcements regarding NVIDIA's RTX 5090 availability and pricing structure leading up to May 31, 2026, as these will directly influence where compute costs settle by the resolution date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi represent real-money trader consensus, which often diverges from published analyst reports on GPU pricing and compute costs. While traditional tech analysts may issue point forecasts based on historical trends and supply-chain models, prediction markets aggregate distributed information from participants with direct financial stakes. Comparing market-implied probabilities to analyst price targets and compute-cost projections can reveal where the crowd expects surprises in NVIDIA's RTX 5090 positioning or data-center demand dynamics by May 2026.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is structured as a binary contract: traders bet on whether compute-per-hour pricing will be above or below the $0.54 threshold on May 31, 2026. The current odds reflect 100.0% probability for the above outcome. Traders buy and sell shares representing each side, with prices ranging from $0.00 to $1.00. The market has generated meaningful volume, indicating active debate over whether NVIDIA's RTX 5090 will command premium compute pricing or face competitive pressure by mid-2026.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution hinges on verifiable data for RTX 5090 compute-per-hour pricing as of May 31, 2026. Traders should monitor official NVIDIA pricing announcements, third-party GPU compute benchmarks, and cloud-provider rate cards in the months leading up to expiration. Any ambiguity in pricing methodology or data availability could affect settlement, so participants should review the full contract terms on Kalshi before trading.

Key catalysts include NVIDIA's official RTX 5090 launch date, specifications, and recommended pricing; competitive GPU releases from AMD or Intel that reshape compute economics; cloud-provider adoption rates and pricing strategies for RTX 5090 instances; AI workload demand trends and whether they sustain premium compute valuations; and macroeconomic factors affecting data-center capex. Supply-chain disruptions, regulatory changes affecting chip exports, or breakthroughs in alternative compute architectures could also shift market expectations about whether $0.54-per-hour pricing proves realistic by May 2026.