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Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
kalshi

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Aug 31, 2026?

Volume:
$26,415

Above $3.72

 - Kalshi

Above $3.72 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 5:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $3.72

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,920
N/A
N/A
$1,509
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4.22

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,388
N/A
N/A
$1,381
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4.02

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,213
N/A
N/A
$580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4.12

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$954
N/A
N/A
$452
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.92

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$703
N/A
N/A
$678
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4.32

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$548
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.62

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.82

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
$260
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4.52

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,132
N/A
N/A
$692
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.22

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,798
N/A
N/A
$959
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4.42

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,612
N/A
N/A
$536
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.02

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,563
N/A
N/A
$1,002
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.32

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,342
N/A
N/A
$842
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.92

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,320
N/A
N/A
$472
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.42

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,310
N/A
N/A
$891
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.02

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,139
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.82

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.12

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$893
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4.62

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$835
N/A
N/A
$448
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.72

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$705
N/A
N/A
$210
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $6.52

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$668
N/A
N/A
$654
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4.82

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
$514
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4.72

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
$320
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4.92

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
$80
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $5.52

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
$332
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This event tracks the future cost of using NVIDIA's H200 AI processing units for computational tasks. It focuses on how market forces, technological improvements, and supply dynamics might influence pricing over the next few years. The outcome reflects whether these costs exceed specific thresholds by a set date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/) on August 31, 2026. Each market has a specific price threshold; if the reported value exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Revisions to the underlying data after the expiration date will not affect the resolution. The USD iteration of the index is used unless otherwise specified. If no data is available for the specified time period, all markets excluding 'No data' or 'None' resolve to No. All values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise stated. The resolution for each market depends solely on whether the H200 compute price per hour meets or exceeds its respective threshold on the expiration date.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. Analysts may provide detailed reports based on technical specifications and market trends, while traders on Kalshi continuously adjust their positions based on new information, news, and sentiment. This can lead to differences in projected outcomes, with the market sometimes pricing in faster shifts than published research.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by authoritative sources tracking NVIDIA's official announcements or widely recognized industry benchmarks. Traders will watch for any major product launches, supply chain updates, or market shifts that could influence the final computation.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including new product announcements from NVIDIA, changes in AI hardware demand, regulatory updates affecting chip sales, and macroeconomic factors influencing tech spending. Earnings reports from NVIDIA or major AI adopters may also impact expectations. Additionally, competitive releases from other manufacturers could alter market sentiment and move pricing odds on Kalshi as traders reassess future compute values.