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Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by May 31, 2026?
kalshi

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by May 31, 2026?

Volume:
$1,473

Above $4.88

 - Kalshi

Above $4.88 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $4.88 on May 31?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $4.88

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$115
0%
N/A
$115
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.89

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$97
0%
N/A
$97
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.82

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84
0%
N/A
$84
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.83

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82
0%
N/A
$82
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.84

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82
0%
N/A
$82
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.85

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82
0%
N/A
$82
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.86

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82
0%
N/A
$82
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.87

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82
0%
N/A
$82
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.92

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$74
0%
N/A
$74
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.91

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$64
0%
N/A
$64
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.99

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$51
0%
N/A
$51
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $5.12

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$48
0%
N/A
$48
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.94

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$42
0%
N/A
$42
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $5.09

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$35
0%
N/A
$35
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $5.20

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$35
0%
N/A
$35
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $5.00

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$34
0%
N/A
$34
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $5.08

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$34
0%
N/A
$34
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $5.11

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$34
0%
N/A
$34
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $5.14

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$34
0%
N/A
$34
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $5.18

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$33
0%
N/A
$33
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $5.19

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$33
0%
N/A
$33
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $5.21

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$33
0%
N/A
$33
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.90

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$32
0%
N/A
$32
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.93

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$32
0%
N/A
$32
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $4.95

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$32
0%
N/A
$32
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 25 of 40

Intro

This market tracks whether NVIDIA's B200 GPU compute will cost more than $4.82 per hour of computational capacity on May 31, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that B200 compute pricing will exceed this threshold—stands at 91.0%. The resolution source is the official B200 compute per hour price as of May 31, 2026. Watch for NVIDIA's product roadmap announcements and competitive pricing pressures from alternative GPU providers leading up to the May 31, 2026 resolution date, as these factors will significantly influence whether compute costs remain above or fall below the $4.82 threshold.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi represent decentralized trader sentiment on B200 compute pricing, which often diverges from traditional analyst reports. While equity research teams publish price targets based on supply-chain models and competitive analysis, prediction markets incorporate real-time information and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes. Comparing 100.0% implied probability to semiconductor analyst consensus can reveal whether markets are pricing in faster cost reductions or supply constraints that formal forecasts may underweight. Both sources offer complementary perspectives on B200 trajectory.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the B200 compute market is structured as a binary contract: Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $4.98 on May 31? Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with 100.0% currently reflecting the implied probability of the above-$4.98 outcome. Share prices move continuously as new information about NVIDIA's manufacturing roadmap, competitor launches, or demand signals emerge. Settlement occurs after May 31, 2026, when official B200 pricing data determines whether the contract resolves to 100 cents (above threshold) or 0 cents (at or below).

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the May 31, 2026 reference date. Resolution hinges on official NVIDIA B200 compute pricing data available on or shortly after that date. Traders should monitor NVIDIA earnings calls, product announcements, and third-party pricing benchmarks leading up to expiration. The specific threshold of $4.98 per hour will be verified against authoritative sources to determine whether the contract settles affirmatively or negatively. Early closure or extension is possible if pricing data remains ambiguous.

Key catalysts include NVIDIA's quarterly earnings reports and product roadmap updates, which may reveal B200 production volumes and pricing strategy. Competitor announcements from AMD, Intel, or cloud providers could pressure or support B200 costs. Macroeconomic factors—semiconductor supply-chain disruptions, tariff changes, or data-center capex cycles—directly affect demand and pricing power. Geopolitical developments affecting chip manufacturing or export controls may constrain supply and inflate costs. Industry conferences, customer guidance, and third-party benchmarking reports will also influence trader expectations about whether B200 compute will trade above or below the $4.98 threshold by May 31, 2026.