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Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by May 31, 2026?
kalshi

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by May 31, 2026?

Volume:
$794

Above $1.24

 - Kalshi

Above $1.24 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.24 on May 31?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $1.24

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
89¢
N/A
$82
0%
N/A
$36
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.25

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
91¢
N/A
$61
0%
N/A
$61
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.26

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
91¢
N/A
$59
0%
N/A
$59
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.27

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
83¢
N/A
$50
0%
N/A
$19
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.22

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
88¢
N/A
$39
0%
N/A
$24
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.23

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
93¢
N/A
$36
0%
N/A
$36
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.28

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
93¢
N/A
$27
0%
N/A
$26
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.03

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$16
0%
N/A
$16
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.02

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$14
0%
N/A
$14
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.99

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
7¢
N/A
$12
0%
N/A
$12
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.09

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$12
0%
N/A
$12
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.29

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
77¢
N/A
$3
0%
N/A
$2
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.21

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
97¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
$2
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.98

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$1
0%
N/A
$1
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.30

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
68¢
N/A
$316
0%
N/A
$306
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.32

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
93¢
N/A
$24
0%
N/A
$16
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.33

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
72¢
N/A
$24
0%
N/A
$24
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.31

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
89¢
N/A
$16
0%
N/A
$16
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.94

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.95

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.96

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $0.97

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.00

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.01

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above $1.04

Trade
N/A
N/A
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 25 of 40

Intro

This market tracks the hourly rental cost of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 GPU compute capacity at a specific point in time. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that the per-hour price will exceed $0.98—stands at 98.0%. Resolution will be determined by the actual A100 SXM4 compute per hour price as of May 31, 2026, according to the resolution source. Watch for announcements regarding GPU supply, data center demand, and competitive pricing from alternative accelerators leading up to the May 31, 2026 resolution date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction about A100 SXM4 pricing, while analyst forecasts typically rely on supply-chain models, historical GPU depreciation curves, and vendor pricing announcements. Markets often incorporate forward-looking sentiment faster than published analyst reports, especially when unexpected production changes or competitive launches occur. Comparing the current market probability to consensus estimates from semiconductor research firms can reveal whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than the analyst consensus.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the A100 SXM4 pricing event is structured as a binary contract: traders bet on whether the per-hour compute cost will be above or below $1.3 by May 31, 2026. The current market shows 100.0% implied probability for the above-$1.3 outcome. Prices move based on order flow, with buyers and sellers negotiating positions throughout the contract's life. Volume and liquidity on Kalshi allow traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time prices reflecting collective expectations about NVIDIA's pricing strategy and market competition.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual per-hour compute price of the NVIDIA A100 SXM4 on that date, compared against the $1.3 threshold. Traders should monitor official NVIDIA pricing, cloud provider rate cards, and spot-market data as the resolution date approaches. Any ambiguity in pricing methodology or data sources is typically clarified in the market's official rules before settlement occurs.

Key catalysts include new NVIDIA GPU announcements or architectural improvements that affect A100 demand and pricing power. Supply-chain disruptions or manufacturing capacity changes can shift per-hour costs. Competitive launches from AMD or other vendors may pressure NVIDIA's pricing. Cloud provider pricing updates, enterprise purchasing patterns, and macroeconomic shifts affecting AI infrastructure spending all influence market expectations. Regulatory actions on chip exports or data-center energy costs could also move odds. Traders monitor earnings calls, industry conferences, and technology announcements for signals about A100 availability and pricing through May 2026.