TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:06 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
The 2026 Pickering, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.
Polymarket
The 2026 Pickering, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional polling data for the Pickering mayoral election. While polls capture a snapshot of voter sentiment at a specific time, this market reflects continuously updated beliefs based on a wide range of information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, sample biases in polls, or the market incorporating information not captured in polls, such as fundraising data or candidate performance in debates. It’s important to consider both sources when forming an informed opinion about the election’s likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each candidate’s chance of winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that candidate winning the election. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the municipal election authority for the Pickering mayoral election. The candidate with the most votes, as officially certified, will be declared the winner, and shares in that candidate’s outcome will settle at 100 cents. All other shares will settle to 0 cents. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the Pickering mayoral election resolves. Major endorsements from influential figures, unexpected shifts in fundraising totals, or significant events during the campaign trail – such as debates or public appearances – could all cause traders to reassess their predictions. Changes in public opinion, as reflected in new polling data, could also influence market prices. Furthermore, any unforeseen controversies or breaking news related to the candidates have the potential to move this market substantially.
