TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Petrobras's total oil and gas output during the third quarter of 2026. It focuses on whether the company's production levels exceed various thresholds, providing insight into its operational performance and efficiency during that period. The outcome depends on official reported figures for that specific timeframe.
The event evaluates Petrobras's total oil and gas production for Q3 2026 against a series of ascending production thresholds ranging from 2950 to 3500 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (mboed). Each threshold represents a distinct market outcome, where the market resolves to 'Yes' if the company's officially reported production exceeds that specific level. The structure creates a tiered resolution framework, with higher thresholds building upon the conditions of lower ones. All markets share the same reporting period and source requirements, ensuring consistency across all threshold evaluations. The final market resolution will indicate which, if any, of these production thresholds were met by Petrobras during the specified quarter.
This market resolves around Mar 13, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The settlement will reflect Petrobras’ officially reported total production in millions of barrels of oil equivalent per day (Mboed) for Q3, based on data released by the company or recognized industry sources. Traders should watch for the company’s quarterly production reports and any official announcements that could affect the final number.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key events include Petrobras’ upcoming earnings releases, changes in global oil supply or demand, geopolitical developments affecting Brazilian oil production, and inventory reports from major institutions. Any surprise announcements from the company regarding operational issues, maintenance shutdowns, or new production initiatives would also likely cause price swings. Traders will monitor these developments closely to anticipate shifts in market expectations.