TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Peacock App Downloads in September
kalshi

What will be the Peacock App Downloads performance in September?

Volume:
$82,349

Above 80

 - Kalshi

Above 80 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 80

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,603
N/A
N/A
$4,253
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 86

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,182
N/A
N/A
$1,974
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,268
N/A
N/A
$10,471
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,724
N/A
N/A
$6,038
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 92

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,444
N/A
N/A
$3,135
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 128

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,947
N/A
N/A
$4,559
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 116

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,481
N/A
N/A
$6,212
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 122

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,191
N/A
N/A
$3,654
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 110

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,806
N/A
N/A
$2,942
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 119

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,500
N/A
N/A
$3,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 107

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,472
N/A
N/A
$3,086
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 113

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,730
N/A
N/A
$2,560
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks the performance of Peacock App Downloads for September 2026, comparing it to the same month in the previous year. The index value indicates growth if above 100 and decline if below 100. Multiple thresholds define different levels of success for the app's download performance during that month.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the Carbon Arc Peacock App Downloads index for September 2026 exceeds one of several predefined thresholds. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index value for September 2026 is above that threshold. The determination is based solely on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for that month, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded for settlement purposes. The index measures year-over-year performance, where a value of 100 indicates equal downloads compared to the same month in the prior year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate a decline. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Peacock app download market. It shows how traders are pricing the likelihood of different download outcomes for September, with real-time updates reflecting market sentiment and activity. The display includes current volume of $82,349 and 24-hour volume of $12,996, giving you a snapshot of trader engagement on Kalshi.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Peacock app downloads. While analysts may incorporate broader trends and historical data, traders on Kalshi react quickly to news, app performance, and promotional events. This can lead to divergence, where market prices lean more aggressively toward certain outcomes based on recent momentum rather than long-term projections.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially reported download figures for the Peacock app during September, analyzed against the market’s defined categories. No further interpretation is needed beyond publicly available data sources.

Several signals could shift this market before Oct 15, 2026. Major marketing campaigns, app updates, or partnerships announced by Peacock may boost expectations and lift prices. Conversely, technical issues, negative press, or strong competition from rival streaming services could depress the odds. Any surprise changes in consumer behavior—such as a viral trend or platform accessibility issues—will also influence trader sentiment on Kalshi as resolution approaches.