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$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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40,213

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4,340

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5

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Peacock App Downloads in October
kalshi

Will Peacock app downloads increase?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 15, 2026, 1:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$78,711
Volume 24h:
$4,578
272%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$28,279
5%

Above 60

 - Kalshi

Above 60 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:07h:11m

Will Peacock App Downloads for October 2026 be above 60 ?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 33% 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 60

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$19,339
0.03%
4%
$7,837
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 85

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$8,101
29%
126%
$1,127
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 70

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$829
10%
15%
$650
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 130

Trade
3%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$8,666
0%
0.74%
$4,853
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 170

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$23,636
2%
29%
$8,632
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 100

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$13,451
18%
77%
$3,397
1w 5d 7h
Active
kalshi

Above 115

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$4,689
4%
54%
$1,782
1w 5d 7h
Active
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the performance of Peacock app downloads for a specific month compared to the same month in the previous year. The index value indicates growth or decline relative to the prior year, with higher numbers showing stronger performance. Markets will determine whether download figures exceed various thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Peacock App Downloads index for October 2026, measured year-over-year. The index compares October 2026 downloads to October 2025, with 100 representing equal performance. Values above 100 indicate growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. Final determination occurs at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after October 2026 ends. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 60, above 70, etc.), and resolves to 'Yes' if the index exceeds that threshold. Kalshi explicitly states it has no official connection to the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Peacock app downloads market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different download ranges is changing over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, which currently stands at $78,711. The 24-hour volume is $4,007, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets regarding the number of Peacock app downloads in October.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of the number of Peacock app downloads in October. These odds represent the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating insights from a diverse group of traders. It’s often insightful to compare this market’s implied probability to external analyst estimates and polls regarding streaming service adoption and user growth. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates different outcomes than conventional wisdom suggests, or where analysts may not have fully accounted for recent trends in the streaming landscape.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total Peacock app downloads in October. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations regarding Peacock’s user acquisition.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of Peacock app downloads in October will be sourced from publicly available data and used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, based on verifiable data regarding the app’s performance during the specified period. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major announcements regarding Peacock’s content library, such as exclusive streaming rights for popular shows or movies, could drive increased app downloads. Marketing campaigns and promotional offers aimed at attracting new subscribers would also likely impact the market. Furthermore, broader trends in the streaming industry, like competitor pricing changes or the release of highly anticipated content on other platforms, could influence user behavior and, consequently, the price action in this market.