TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of Paramount+ app downloads for September 2026, comparing them to the same month in the previous year. The outcomes depend on whether the reported growth rate exceeds specific thresholds, with higher thresholds representing stronger year-over-year increases.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads index for September 2026, comparing it to the same month in the prior year. The index uses a base of 100 to represent equal year-over-year performance, with values above 100 indicating growth and below 100 indicating decline. Each market has a unique threshold; if the reported index value exceeds the respective threshold (e.g., 79, 82, 83, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes.' The determination is made using the first value reported by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome. All markets operate independently, with each threshold defining a separate condition for resolution.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major marketing announcements from Paramount+, changes in consumer subscription plans, competitor releases, or unexpected shifts in streaming platform popularity. Any data indicating stronger or weaker user adoption rates may also cause price swings, especially as September approaches and real-time download trends become clearer.