TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Oct 5 at ___?
polymarket

How will Palantir (PLTR) close Oct 5 week?

Volume:
$694

>$198

 - Polymarket

>$198 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 6:44 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

>$198

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$180-$182

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$180

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$188-$190

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$196-$198

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$182-$184

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$184-$186

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$186-$188

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$194-$196

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$190-$192

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$192-$194

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Palantir stock market tracks the current odds of various price outcomes for Palantir (PLTR) stock at the close of trading during the week of October 5th. You’ll find a price chart reflecting trader sentiment, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $294. The total volume traded on this market is $694. This allows you to see how much activity there is and how quickly opinions are changing regarding the stock’s performance.

Currently, prediction market participants are expressing a strong conviction about the potential closing price of Palantir stock. This differs from typical analyst forecasts, which often provide a range of potential outcomes with varying probabilities. While analysts might offer a consensus price target, this market represents a collective, real-money prediction. It’s a fascinating comparison, as the market’s wisdom of the crowd can sometimes outperform individual expert opinions when assessing the future price of the Palantir stock.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular price will be reached, the higher the contract’s price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, creating a forward-looking assessment of Palantir’s stock performance.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Palantir (PLTR) stock on the final day of trading during the week of October 5th will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on this publicly available data, ensuring transparency and accuracy in the resolution process. Traders should monitor the stock’s performance leading up to this date to understand the potential implications for their positions.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major news announcements related to Palantir, such as earnings reports, contract wins, or significant partnerships, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader market trends, particularly within the technology sector, could also play a role. Unexpected economic data releases or shifts in investor sentiment toward growth stocks could impact the stock’s performance. Any substantial change in Palantir’s fundamental outlook or competitive landscape has the potential to move this market considerably.