TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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63%

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Science and Technology
Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?
polymarket

How will Palantir close the week of Oct 12?

Volume:
$2,584

<$200

 - Polymarket

<$200 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 7:22 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<$200

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$202-$204

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$206-$208

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$210-$212

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$218

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$216-$218

View
0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$200-$202

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$204-$206

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$208-$210

View
0%
82%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$212-$214

View
0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$214-$216

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Palantir stock market tracks the current probabilities associated with different price ranges for Palantir (PLTR) stock at the close of trading during the week of October 12. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with a price history chart showing how the market has priced in information over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $441, giving you a sense of how actively this market is being traded. Total volume for this market is $2,584.

Currently, prediction market participants are expressing their views on where Palantir stock will close during the specified week. These probabilities are formed by traders directly wagering on outcomes, which can differ from traditional analyst forecasts based on financial modeling. While analysts may issue price targets and ratings, this market reflects a collective, incentivized prediction about the stock's movement. It’s a fascinating comparison – does the wisdom of the crowd align with expert opinions, or does this market reveal a different perspective on Palantir’s potential?

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for Palantir stock, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news, earnings reports, and other relevant events. The more a particular outcome is traded, the higher its price, and the greater the implied probability that it will occur. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome determined by the closing price of Palantir (PLTR) stock on the final day of trading during the week of October 12. The resolution will be verified against credible public reporting of the official closing price. The market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the closing price range, based on the contract they held. It’s important to note that the resolution process focuses on the verifiable closing price, providing a clear and objective outcome for this market.

Several factors could significantly impact the Palantir stock market between now and Oct 16, 2026. Major catalysts include any unexpected news regarding Palantir’s government contracts, particularly with the US defense and intelligence sectors. Earnings reports, if released before the resolution date, would also be a key driver, as would any significant changes in broader market sentiment towards technology or growth stocks. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, and even substantial trading activity by institutional investors, could all influence the probabilities reflected in this market.