TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Politics
Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the Oshawa, ON Mayoral?

Volume:
$50,968

Tito-Dante Marimpietri

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 12:23 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Tito-Dante Marimpietri

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tito-Dante Marimpietri

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,706
N/A
N/A
$1,153
1mo 1w 5d
Yes
polymarket

Jim Lee

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jim Lee

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
polymarket

Derek Giberson

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Derek Giberson

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
$265
1mo 1w 5d
No
polymarket

Dave Westlake

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dave Westlake

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
polymarket

Henry Onwuachu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Henry Onwuachu

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
polymarket

Michael Coons

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,744
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Coons

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
polymarket

Person A

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person J

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person L

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This group forecasts the winner of the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election. The markets consider a range of candidates and also include an 'Other' option for someone not currently listed. Resolution will be based on official election results or a consensus of credible reporting.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve to the same outcome: the candidate who wins the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election.Primary resolution logic: Official results from the City of Oshawa, Ontario.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election.
  • Temporary or interim mayors appointed before the election are not considered.
  • If no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: In the event of a tie, the market will resolve according to the official tie-breaking procedures established by the City of Oshawa.
  • Candidate Withdrawal: If a candidate withdraws before the election, the market will continue to run, and the remaining candidates will be considered.
Timing: The market will resolve once official results are announced by the City of Oshawa, Ontario, or if no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oshawa, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Oshawa, Ontario.

Kalshi

If Tito-Dante Marimpietri wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jim Lee wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Derek Giberson wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Henry Onwuachu wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dave Westlake wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Coons wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeremy Large wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joseph Tomlins wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sherland Chhangur wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of information and risk tolerance, leading to independent price discovery. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery there. Additionally, the specific contract structures and fee schedules on each platform can influence trading behavior. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the Oshawa mayoral election, even though both markets address the same underlying question. The volume of this market is currently $50,968.