TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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63%

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Oregon Governor Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
opinion

Who will win the Oregon Governor election?

Oct 19, 2026, 10:22 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$11
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Christine Drazan (R)

 - Opinion

Christine Drazan (R) - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:07h:37m

Christine Drazan (R)

23%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 19¢ buys you 526 shares | Odds: 23% Total Payout: $526 | Net Profit: $426 Multiplier: 5.26x | ROI: 426% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Christine Drazan (R)

Trade
23%
Yes 19¢No 89¢
8¢
N/A
$11
0%
0%
N/A
1d 7h 37m
Active
opinion

Tina Kotek (D)

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 37m
Active
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Oregon Governor election tracks the implied probability of different outcomes, the price history of these predictions, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $0 and total volume to date is $11. Traders on Opinion are expressing their beliefs about who will win the election through buy and sell orders, which dynamically adjust the probabilities displayed. The dashboard provides a visual representation of these market-based forecasts, allowing users to quickly assess the current state of play.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls capture a snapshot of stated preferences, this market aggregates real-money wagers, representing what individuals are willing to risk on a particular outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like strategic voting in polls, biases in sampling, or information known to traders that isn't reflected in public opinion. It’s common to see this market adjust more quickly to new information and potentially offer a more accurate forecast than polls alone, though both have their strengths and weaknesses.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results reported by election authorities for the Oregon Governor election. The candidate who receives the most votes in the official count will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand when the market will be settled.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Major endorsements from influential figures, significant shifts in fundraising totals, and unexpected developments in the candidates’ campaigns could all impact trader sentiment. Public debates and the release of new polling data are also likely to cause fluctuations. Additionally, any unforeseen events, such as scandals or major policy announcements, could dramatically alter the probabilities. Monitoring news coverage and paying attention to these key indicators will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.