TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the total number of tokens processed on OpenRouter for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026. The total number of tokens is the weekly total displayed in the Top Models chart on OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings page (https://openrouter.ai/rankings#top-models). OpenRouter's weeks run from 12:00 AM UTC on Monday to 11:59 PM UTC on Sunday, and a week's figures continue to update until the following week's figures are first displayed. This market will resolve according to the total displayed for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 12, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 12, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 16, 2026, this market will resolve according to the total displayed for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026 at that time. This market will resolve based on the total as displayed on the chart, including any rounding applied by OpenRouter. If the displayed total falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
This market will resolve according to the total number of tokens processed on OpenRouter for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026. The total number of tokens is the weekly total displayed in the Top Models chart on OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings page (https://openrouter.ai/rankings#top-models). OpenRouter's weeks run from 12:00 AM UTC on Monday to 11:59 PM UTC on Sunday, and a week's figures continue to update until the following week's figures are first displayed. This market will resolve according to the total displayed for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 12, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 12, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 16, 2026, this market will resolve according to the total displayed for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026 at that time. This market will resolve based on the total as displayed on the chart, including any rounding applied by OpenRouter. If the displayed total falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the perceived probability of OpenRouter processing 185T or more tokens during the specified week. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will raise the price, indicating a higher probability, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations regarding OpenRouter’s token usage.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of tokens processed by OpenRouter during the week of October 5. The platform will verify this data against publicly available information to determine whether the threshold of 185T tokens or more was met. Traders will then receive payouts based on their holdings in the market, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions.
Several signals could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major announcements from OpenRouter regarding partnerships, new features, or increased adoption could drive up expectations and increase the price. Conversely, any negative news, such as reports of technical issues or decreased usage, could lower the price. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, particularly relating to layer-2 scaling solutions, could also impact sentiment. Finally, significant fluctuations in the overall volume of token transactions could also move the market.