TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Science and Technology
OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$23,203

Above 19.5%

 - Kalshi

Above 19.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 23, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 19.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,406
N/A
N/A
$2,156
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 21%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,933
N/A
N/A
$2,733
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 22.5%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,740
N/A
N/A
$2,740
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 16.5%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,634
N/A
N/A
$2,514
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,452
N/A
N/A
$2,431
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 24%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
$1,179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 25.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,546
N/A
N/A
$4,463
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 28.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,101
N/A
N/A
$1,884
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 27%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,208
N/A
N/A
$1,208
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI development resources allocated to a specific technology provider by leading research organizations during a particular month. It reflects potential trends in infrastructure preferences among top AI labs, offering insight into strategic technology investments.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for September 22, 2026. The share will be measured and rounded to one decimal place. Determination occurs at 10:00 AM ET on September 23, 2026, using the updated chart value for the previous day. Each market has a distinct threshold: if the measured share exceeds the specified percentage (16.5%, 18%, 19.5%, 21%, 22.5%, 24%, 25.5%, 27%, or 28.5%), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.