TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Science and Technology
OpenAI share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

OpenAI share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$13,192

Above 8%

 - Kalshi

Above 8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 23, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 8%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,396
N/A
N/A
$3,996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,428
N/A
N/A
$2,407
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 14%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,129
N/A
N/A
$2,129
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 16%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,414
N/A
N/A
$1,414
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 12%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,354
N/A
N/A
$1,354
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 24%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$669
N/A
N/A
$594
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 22%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$317
N/A
N/A
$292
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 20%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI processing requests handled by OpenAI through Vercel on a specific future date. It reflects potential shifts in how leading research institutions choose their AI infrastructure partners, indicating competitive dynamics in cloud service adoption.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on September 22, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. The determining value will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on September 23, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold: markets resolve to 'Yes' if the measured share exceeds their specific percentage threshold (ranging from 8% to 24%), with all markets sharing identical data sources and calculation methodologies. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with Vercel, and all brand names remain the property of their respective owners.