TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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OpenAI market share this week
kalshi

OpenAI market share this week

Volume:
$61,526

Above 18.5%

 - Kalshi

Above 18.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 18.5%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,785
N/A
N/A
$5,291
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 18.0%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,145
N/A
N/A
$3,235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 19.5%

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,278
N/A
N/A
$2,734
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 19.0%

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,595
N/A
N/A
$2,579
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 17.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,535
N/A
N/A
$3,952
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 16.5%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,427
N/A
N/A
$2,427
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 20%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,151
N/A
N/A
$9,679
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 20.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,609
N/A
N/A
$8,543
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the weekly usage performance of OpenAI's models within a specific AI platform ecosystem. It measures whether OpenAI achieves certain usage thresholds relative to all other model authors during a defined period. The outcome depends entirely on independent platform analytics for that week.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on OpenAI's measured text generation market share by model author on the OpenRouter platform for the week ending Monday, August 31, 2026, using data published at 10:00 AM ET on that Monday. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from above 16.5% to above 20.5%) which, if exceeded by OpenAI's share, results in a 'Yes' resolution for that specific market. If OpenAI's contribution is grouped under an aggregated 'Others' category rather than listed individually, all markets resolve to 'No'. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal association with the data provider or benchmark methodology, and all intellectual property rights remain with respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final share figure will be compared against the market’s defined categories, closing the market based on publicly available data sources rather than internal metrics.