TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
50%+
- Polymarket
50%+ - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 1, 2026
Latest in Science and Technology
Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Intro
This market tracks whether any OpenAI GPT model will achieve at least a 50% score on Humanity's Last Exam, a comprehensive benchmark designed to test advanced AI capabilities across diverse domains. On Polymarket, the leading outcome carries a probability of 45.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard maintained by Scale, with settlement occurring if any OpenAI GPT model reaches the threshold by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Watch for OpenAI model releases and leaderboard updates leading up to the June 30, 2026 deadline to gauge whether the benchmark threshold will be met.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
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