TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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on! Point of Sale Growth in September
kalshi

What is the on! Point of Sale Growth in September?

Volume:
$52,697

Above 105

 - Kalshi

Above 105 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 2, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 105

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,720
N/A
N/A
$8,714
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 116

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,610
N/A
N/A
$3,046
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 107

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,761
N/A
N/A
$3,864
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,372
N/A
N/A
$5,048
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 111

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,829
N/A
N/A
$3,282
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 98

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,651
N/A
N/A
$3,250
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 113

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,268
N/A
N/A
$2,709
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 109

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,222
N/A
N/A
$3,042
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 103

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,314
N/A
N/A
$1,314
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 125

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,852
N/A
N/A
$3,066
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 119

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,962
N/A
N/A
$1,861
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 122

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,136
N/A
N/A
$1,136
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

The event tracks year-over-year changes in on! Point of Sale Growth for September 2026, using an index where 100 represents equal spending compared to the same month last year. Higher values indicate increased consumer spending growth, while lower values show a decline. The outcome depends on whether the reported index meets or exceeds specific thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc on! Point of Sale Growth index for September 2026, with each market requiring the index to surpass a distinct threshold ranging from 98 to 116. The index reflects year-over-year spending changes, where values above 100 signify growth and below 100 indicate decline. Determination for all markets uses the first value reported by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement do not alter the outcome. The index is calculated using a point-of-sale receipt panel that captures in-store and online purchases through receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period in the prior year. The panel updates daily, providing near real-time data for evaluation.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $5,899 for the September POS growth market. It shows how traders price the likelihood that on! Point of Sale Growth in September will meet or exceed the target level. The view updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity on Kalshi only.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official announcement or publication of the September POS growth figure, which is then matched against the market’s defined threshold to settle all positions.