Ohio Senate favorite on November 2? Odds & Prediction Markets

Name: Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?
Start: 2026-10-16T02:54:22.000Z
End: 2026-11-03T04:00:00.000Z

Description

This market will resolve to "Brown" if the "Sherrod Brown (D)" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "Jon Husted (R)" option's hourly odds value in the "Ohio Senate Special Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Husted" if the "Jon Husted (R)" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "Sherrod Brown (D)" option's hourly odds value in the "Ohio Senate Special Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. If the "Sherrod Brown (D)" option's and the "Jon Husted (R)" option's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the "Sherrod Brown (D)" option or the "Jon Husted (R)" option in the "Ohio Senate Special Election 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes". If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50. If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the "Sherrod Brown (D)" option and the "Jon Husted (R)" option in the "Ohio Senate Special Election 2026" listing at https://www.predictionmarketodds.com/senate-ohio-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Brown" if the "Sherrod Brown (D)" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "Jon Husted (R)" option's hourly odds value in the "Ohio Senate Special Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Husted" if the "Jon Husted (R)" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "Sherrod Brown (D)" option's hourly odds value in the "Ohio Senate Special Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. If the "Sherrod Brown (D)" option's and the "Jon Husted (R)" option's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the "Sherrod Brown (D)" option or the "Jon Husted (R)" option in the "Ohio Senate Special Election 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes". If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50. If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the "Sherrod Brown (D)" option and the "Jon Husted (R)" option in the "Ohio Senate Special Election 2026" listing at https://www.predictionmarketodds.com/senate-ohio-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ohio Senate election tracks the implied probability of different outcomes, reflecting traders’ collective predictions. It displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,135. The total volume traded on this market is $4,671. Users can analyze these metrics to understand how sentiment shifts over time and gauge the perceived likelihood of various candidates winning the election. This provides a dynamic view of expectations as the election approaches.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants focused on the Ohio Senate election.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Ohio Senate election is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results certified by the relevant election authorities. The market will determine the outcome based on which candidate receives the most votes in the election, as reported by these official sources. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and their positions in the market.

Several key signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the campaigns, such as significant fundraising announcements, endorsements from influential figures, or impactful debate performances, could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected economic news or national political events could also influence perceptions of the race. Changes in polling data, particularly if they indicate a substantial shift in voter preferences, would likely cause movement. Finally, any unforeseen events affecting the candidates themselves could also lead to changes in the market’s pricing.

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