TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:04 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling averages, as polls focusing specifically on the number of social media posts by the NYC mayor are unlikely to exist. However, broader sentiment analysis regarding the mayor’s public engagement and approval ratings could offer some context. If polls suggest high public interest in the mayor’s activities, it might correlate with expectations of a higher posting frequency, influencing the odds in this market. Conversely, negative sentiment could suggest a lower posting rate, impacting the probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of posts made by the NYC mayor between October 9 and October 16, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a count of official posts across the mayor’s verified social media accounts. The specific range of posts that occurs during that timeframe will determine the winning outcome in this market, as defined by the options available on Polymarket.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Major policy announcements or public appearances by the NYC mayor could increase or decrease public engagement, influencing the expected posting frequency. Unexpected events, such as a city-wide crisis or a significant political controversy, could also lead to a change in the mayor’s communication strategy. Furthermore, shifts in the mayor’s social media team or changes to platform algorithms could impact posting habits. Any news relating to the mayor’s public profile or communication strategy will likely be reflected in the odds of this market.
