TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:04 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling data, as polls focusing on the specific number of social media posts from the NYC mayor during a defined period are unlikely to exist. However, prediction markets often incorporate information *ahead* of polls, reflecting real-time expectations and potentially capturing nuanced views not easily expressed in surveys. If polling data were available regarding public expectations for mayoral activity, it would be interesting to see how closely it aligns with the probabilities reflected in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of publicly visible posts made by the NYC mayor across all official social media accounts during the period from October 6 to October 13, 2026. The exact count will be determined by an independent assessment of publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Major policy announcements or public appearances by the NYC mayor could shift expectations about their online activity. Unexpected events, such as a city-wide crisis or a significant political controversy, could also lead to increased or decreased posting. Changes in the mayor’s social media strategy, or the emergence of a new platform they begin using actively, would also likely impact the probabilities reflected in this market. Any news relating to the mayor’s communications team could also be a catalyst.
