TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling averages, as polls focusing on the number of social media posts from the NYC Mayor are not commonly conducted. However, analyzing general public sentiment towards the Mayor, as reflected in approval ratings or media coverage, can provide a broader context. If polls were to emerge specifically addressing expectations for the Mayor's online activity, it would be interesting to see how closely they align with the predictions being made in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of posts made by the NYC Mayor on their official accounts between October 20 and October 27, 2026, will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will be assessed against established guidelines to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major policy announcements from the NYC Mayor, shifts in public opinion regarding their performance, or even changes in their social media strategy could all influence trading activity. Unexpected events, such as a major crisis requiring the Mayor's attention, could also lead to a change in posting frequency. Any significant news related to the Mayor's public communications is likely to move this market as traders adjust their predictions.