TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 2:01 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling averages, as polls focusing on the specific number of social media posts by the NYC mayor during that timeframe are unlikely to exist. However, prediction markets often incorporate information beyond what’s captured in polls, such as expert opinions, news events, and the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to differences between prediction market probabilities and polling data, especially for niche or forward-looking questions like the one addressed by this market. It's important to consider these factors when interpreting the signals from this market.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of posts made by the NYC mayor on their official social media accounts between October 13th and October 20th, 2026, will be tallied. The outcome will be determined by the actual number of posts made during that period, as documented by publicly available data. The market will settle to the outcome range that accurately reflects the mayor’s posting activity during the specified timeframe.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major policy announcements or controversies involving the NYC mayor could influence their social media activity, and therefore the market price. Changes in the mayor’s communication strategy, or the hiring of a new social media team, could also be a factor. Unexpected events impacting New York City, such as a natural disaster or a major public health crisis, might lead to increased or decreased posting frequency. Finally, any public statements from the mayor regarding their social media usage could also move this market.
