TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks potential future values of hourly compute costs for high-performance NVIDIA RTX 5090 graphics processing units. The outcomes depend on whether these costs surpass specific thresholds at a set time, reflecting possible shifts in technology demand, supply dynamics, or pricing strategies.
All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour value reported by Ornn at 4 PM ET on October 9, 2026. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact date and time, the most recently available published data will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data will not affect resolution. All values refer to the USD iteration of the index and are rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a distinct threshold; resolution is "Yes" if the reported value exceeds the respective threshold, otherwise "No".
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final hourly price will be drawn from authoritative financial data sources tracking NVIDIA’s official listings or major retailers at that moment. No further interpretation is needed — the market settles on the observed figure.
Several signals could shift this market before Oct 9, 2026. Earnings reports from NVIDIA, unexpected changes in GPU supply chains, or major retail promotions could all influence trader expectations. Additionally, macroeconomic factors like currency fluctuations or shifts in cryptocurrency mining demand — a key GPU use case — may cause volatility. Any news affecting perceived scarcity or demand will likely move odds.