TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Sep 4, 2026?
kalshi

NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Sep 4, 2026?

Volume:
$6,394

Price to Beat: 0.53

 - Kalshi

Price to Beat: 0.53 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Price to Beat: 0.53

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,394
N/A
N/A
$1,102
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

The market assesses whether the cost of renting an RTX 5090 for computing tasks will increase beyond a specific threshold by a set date in 2026. This reflects potential changes in demand, technological advancements, or supply chain dynamics affecting high-performance graphics processing units.

Kalshi

If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above 0.53 on Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The RTX 5090 price movement market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $31 for this prediction market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the likelihood of price increases or decreases by the set date. This single-venue view updates continuously, reflecting the collective sentiment of participants on Kalshi without aggregating data from elsewhere.

Currently, this market reflects trader expectations through its implied probabilities, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often weigh factors like production capacity, demand trends, and component pricing, while market participants incorporate these insights alongside speculative sentiment. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is more bullish or bearish than consensus industry analysis at this moment.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on whether official pricing data shows an increase or decrease relative to the defined reference point, as assessed against widely accepted sources at that time.

Key signals include official announcements from NVIDIA about pricing changes, shifts in GPU demand driven by new gaming titles or AI workflows, supply chain updates affecting production volumes, and broader economic factors influencing consumer spending. Any unexpected macroeconomic news or competitive releases could also cause rapid repricing in this market as traders adjust their expectations ahead of the deadline.