TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks the performance of a high-end graphics processing unit over a specific time period, focusing on its computational capabilities. It measures whether the processing power of this technology exceeds a certain threshold during the specified date. This reflects the ongoing advancements and benchmarks in consumer hardware technology.
If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above 0.52 on Aug 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market reflects a real-time aggregation of trader sentiment and betting behavior. Analysts may publish their expectations for NVIDIA’s pricing strategy based on supply chain data, demand projections, and competitor moves, but this market incorporates the collective wisdom of active participants. If analyst predictions lean toward a price increase while traders heavily favor a decline, this market could diverge sharply, signaling either market skepticism or anticipation of undisclosed factors that analysts may not yet consider.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. By that date, the actual compute price change for the RTX 5090 will be observed and compared against the market’s defined criteria, closing the market based on observable, publicly available evidence rather than speculation.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key catalysts include official announcements from NVIDIA regarding pricing, supply chain updates that affect GPU availability, competitor releases that change market demand, and broader economic factors such as changes in semiconductor manufacturing costs. Major tech news outlets, investor conferences, and quarterly earnings reports may also influence trader sentiment, especially if they provide forward-looking insights into consumer demand or pricing strategy for high-end graphics cards.