TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes week of Oct 26 at ___?
polymarket

How will NVIDIA (NVDA) close Oct 26?

Volume:
$2,647

$200-$205

 - Polymarket

$200-$205 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:41 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$200-$205

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$2,827
$1,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$205-$210

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$22,236
$735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$190

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,884
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$190-$195

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$22,326
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$195-$200

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$210-$215

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$215-$220

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$22,216
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$220-$225

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$22,258
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$225-$230

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$230-$235

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,166
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$235

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$21,494
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock price market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for NVIDIA (NVDA) stock at the close of trading during the week of October 26. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the price history of the contracts offered. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, indicating how much activity is occurring in this market. Currently, the volume is $1,095 and total volume is $2,647.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and sentiment surrounding NVIDIA’s stock performance.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the closing price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock during the week of October 26 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by standard financial market data sources. The market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the closing price range. This is based on the official closing price reported by major financial exchanges.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major announcements from NVIDIA regarding earnings, new product releases, or changes in guidance could all trigger price movements. Broader macroeconomic events, such as shifts in interest rates or overall market sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to key competitors or the semiconductor industry as a whole could also impact trading activity in this market. Any significant news impacting NVIDIA’s financial outlook could shift the probabilities.