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Science and Technology
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes week of Nov 2 at ___?
polymarket
opinion

How will NVIDIA (NVDA) close Nov 2?

Total volume:
$6,476
Volume 24h:
$1,827
1%
Liquidity:
$12,289
141%
Open interest:
$1,498N/A

$215-$220

 - Polymarket

$215-$220 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:15h:28m

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?

9%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 11¢ buys you 909 shares | Odds: 9% Total Payout: $909 | Net Profit: $809 Multiplier: 9.09x | ROI: 809% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$215-$220

Trade
9%
2%
Yes 11¢No 94¢
5¢
$756
$2
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
polymarket

$220-$225

Trade
29%
4%
Yes 56.9¢No 99.3¢
56.2¢
$1,257
$2
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
polymarket

>$225

Trade
6%
3%
Yes 11.3¢No 99¢
10.3¢
$2,088
$1,495
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
polymarket

<$180

Trade
7%
14%
Yes 12.9¢No 99¢
11.9¢
$1,759
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
polymarket

$180-$185

Trade
11%
10%
Yes 19.7¢No 98.7¢
18.4¢
$1,761
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
polymarket

$185-$190

Trade
6%
20%
Yes 9.8¢No 97.6¢
7.4¢
$900
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
polymarket

$190-$195

Trade
12%
3%
Yes 14¢No 91¢
5¢
$717
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
polymarket

$195-$200

Trade
16%
3%
Yes 19¢No 87¢
6¢
$875
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
polymarket

$200-$205

Trade
19%
2%
Yes 22¢No 84¢
6¢
$735
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
polymarket

$205-$210

Trade
18%
1%
Yes 21¢No 86¢
7¢
$799
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
polymarket

$210-$215

Trade
13%
4%
Yes 16¢No 90¢
6¢
$641
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 28m
Active
opinion

205

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

195

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

200

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

210

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

215

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

These markets ask forecasters to predict the closing price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on the final day of trading during the week of November 2nd, 2024. Markets are structured around price ranges, and a single market will resolve if the closing price falls within that range.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms rely on the closing price of NVDA on the final trading day of the specified week and utilize Pyth data as the primary source, with a clear fallback mechanism to the primary exchange.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the 'Close' value from Pyth for the final minute of regular trading.
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, the last valid Pyth price during regular trading hours will be used.
  • As a last resort, the official closing price from the primary exchange will be used.
  • In the event of a stock split, prices will be adjusted proportionally as displayed on Pyth.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Boundary Condition: If the closing price falls exactly on the upper bound of a range, the market for that range resolves as true.
  • Trading Holiday: If the final trading day is shortened due to a holiday, the 'Close' value from the final minute of the shortened session will be used.
  • Data Outage: If Pyth data is unavailable for the entire trading day, the official closing price from the primary exchange will be used.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the close of trading on Friday, November 6th, 2024, once the official closing price is confirmed by Pyth or the primary exchange.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Opinion, this market dashboard tracks predictions on the closing price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock for the week of November 2nd. It aggregates data from both platforms to provide a consensus view of potential outcomes. Currently, the combined volume across both venues is $6,476, with $1,497 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the stock will land and compare expectations across different prediction markets. The short_topic provides a focused view on this specific financial instrument.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from individual analyst forecasts. Analysts may have biases or specific models, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many participants with skin in the game. This market’s pricing can be seen as a real-time assessment of probabilities, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than a single analyst report. It’s important to note that neither prediction markets nor analyst forecasts are foolproof, but they offer complementary insights into potential future outcomes.

Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Opinion may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different demographic of traders than Opinion, leading to differing opinions on NVIDIA’s stock performance. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. For example, if Polymarket has significantly higher volume, its price may be more responsive to new information. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the closing price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock for the week of November 2nd is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official closing price reported by a major financial exchange. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on both Polymarket and Opinion after the resolution date. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major news regarding NVIDIA’s financial performance, new product announcements, or changes in the overall market sentiment towards technology stocks could all impact predictions. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also influence the stock price and, consequently, this market. Additionally, any significant developments in the semiconductor industry or competitive pressures could shift trader expectations and alter the odds.