TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NVIDIA (NVDA) above … on October 12?
opinion

NVIDIA (NVDA) above … on October 12?

Volume:
$0

225

 - Opinion

225 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 11:02 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

225

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

230

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

235

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

240

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

245

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock price market tracks the current implied probability of the stock price being above a certain level on October 12, 2026. You'll find the evolving odds reflected in the price, along with a history of how those odds have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $0. This provides a snapshot of market activity and sentiment surrounding NVIDIA’s future performance.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on financial modeling and company reports, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential catalysts. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment, potentially offering a more real-time assessment of NVIDIA’s prospects than static analyst ratings. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market expectations.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of the NVIDIA stock price being above the specified level by the resolution date. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders adjust their positions, leading to dynamic price movements. Volume and order flow are key indicators to watch, as they reflect the intensity of conviction among participants.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the NVIDIA stock price is above a predetermined level at market close on October 12, 2026. The final price will be determined by publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange. Traders will then be paid out based on their holdings and the ultimate outcome of the market.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from NVIDIA regarding new products, earnings reports, or changes in leadership would likely cause substantial price movement. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the technology sector, could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding competitors or disruptions in the supply chain for semiconductors are additional catalysts to watch. Any information that alters the perceived future growth prospects of NVIDIA could influence trading activity and shift the odds.