TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks potential future pricing levels for NVIDIA H200 computing power, reflecting possible changes in demand, supply chain dynamics, and technological advancements within the high-performance computing sector.
All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA H200 compute price per hour at 4 PM ET on October 9, 2026, as reported by Ornn. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data prior to expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the data will not affect resolution. All prices are in USD and rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold, and resolves to 'Yes' only if the reported price exceeds its respective threshold.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the most recent consensus. The market price adjusts dynamically based on order flow, open interest, and any new information that could affect the likelihood of the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour being above $4 at the specified time, creating a liquid, user-driven indicator of market expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price at the exact time specified will determine whether the market settles for the 'above' or 'below' condition, based on authoritative market data sources.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 9, 2026. Earnings reports, product announcements, or supply chain updates from NVIDIA may shift expectations for demand or pricing of the H200. Broader market volatility, geopolitical tensions, or regulatory news affecting AI hardware could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant movements in cryptocurrency markets — where the H200 is often utilized — might alter perceptions of its hourly value, potentially moving odds in either direction.