TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.3b
24H VOL:
$121,875,814
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,437,844,306
405,535
Markets across
30,523
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
NVIDIA's H200 compute prices may fluctuate based on advancements in AI processing capabilities, changes in manufacturing efficiency, or shifts in market demand for high-performance computing by August 2026. Observers will track these dynamics closely.
If the value of H200 compute per hour is above 5.62 on Aug 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about NVIDIA’s H200 pricing direction. While analysts may offer detailed reports based on supply chain data and demand trends, the market price captures real-time betting sentiment. Discrepancies between the two can signal emerging risks or opportunities not yet reflected in traditional research.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader submissions to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects collective trader expectations about future price movements. Volume of $984 shows overall interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $0 indicates current activity levels. Traders adjust positions based on news, analyst reports, and broader market trends affecting semiconductor valuations.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official announcements, financial disclosures, and trusted news sources to validate whether the NVIDIA H200 compute price is up or down against the defined benchmark at that time.