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NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Sep 4, 2026?
kalshi

NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Sep 4, 2026?

Volume:
$8,252

Price to Beat: 2.93

 - Kalshi

Price to Beat: 2.93 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Price to Beat: 2.93

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,252
N/A
N/A
$968
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

The market gauges whether the hourly computational cost of the H100 SXM variant will surpass a predetermined level by September 2026. This depends on evolving semiconductor efficiency, energy prices, and the balance between supply and demand in high-performance computing environments.

Kalshi

If the value of H100 SXM compute per hour is above 2.93 on Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks directly. The platform’s probability display reflects the aggregated balance of all open orders, updating instantly with each trade. Market depth and liquidity — measured by volume of $8,252 and 24-hour volume of $1,174 — influence how tightly packed the price points are, determining the final implied probability for each outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on the actual price movement of the NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute as recorded by reliable market sources at that time.

Several signals could shift expectations in this market before Sep 4, 2026. Earnings reports, new product announcements, or unexpected supply chain disruptions for NVIDIA could drive rapid reassessments. Broader technology sector volatility, regulatory updates affecting AI hardware, or macroeconomic policy changes impacting tech spending also play a role. Traders will watch these developments closely, as any credible hint about H100 demand or pricing power can cause this market to swing toward either outcome.