TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The hourly compute cost of NVIDIA's H100 SXM cards reflects complex interactions between hardware performance, energy consumption, and market pricing. By August 2026, these factors could shift significantly due to new technologies or economic conditions.
If the value of H100 SXM compute per hour is above 2.76 on Aug 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market currently reflects trader sentiment through its probability odds, which may diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often evaluate technical specifications, supply chain dynamics, and market demand trends to predict price movements. In contrast, prediction market odds aggregate real-time bets from participants who may react quickly to new information or shifts in investor confidence. This difference means the market odds can sometimes preview or contrast with longer-term expert predictions, offering a unique snapshot of crowd-sourced expectations for the NVIDIA H100 price movement.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official announcements, financial disclosures, and verified price data to determine whether the price moved up or down over the specified period.
Several signals could influence this market before Aug 7, 2026. Key events include official announcements from NVIDIA regarding product revisions, supply chain updates, or shifts in demand from major AI data center customers. Broader technology sector trends, macroeconomic factors affecting semiconductor valuations, and competitive product launches may also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant geopolitical or regulatory developments affecting hardware exports could cause rapid shifts in market odds as participants reassess risk and potential price outcomes.